Talkin’ About the CMA Awards: Official Predictions

The CMA Awards will be broadcast live from Nashville’s Bridgestone Arena this Wednesday night on ABC. Going into the ceremony, Miranda Lambert leads the field with a record 9 nominations. How many will she take home? Will she win her first Entertainer of the Year award? Will Lady Antebellum rain on her parade? There are many story lines that will unfold come Wednesday night. To sort some of them out, we’re posting our official predictions.

This year’s awards show has the opportunity to break the mold when it comes to winners so we’re offering our predictions of who should win in each category as well as who we think will win come Wednesday night. Let’s get started!

Entertainer of the Year
  • Lady Antebellum
  • Miranda Lambert
  • Brad Paisley
  • Keith Urban
  • Zac Brown Band

This year’s Entertainer race is a three-horse race. I think Urban and the Zac Brown Band can instantly be thrown out of contention seeing as the three remaining nominees have had bigger impacts this year. This then allows for the CMA to award the genre’s biggest-selling artist, Lady Antebellum with their first Entertainer trophy. Or they can decide to go with this year’s “it” girl and most critically acclaimed artist, Miranda Lambert. Or they can award the nominee with the biggest touring numbers, Brad Paisley, who finds 2010 to be the best chance he has at taking home an Entertainer trophy. Considering the fact that they have been the genre’s biggest artist, I’m thinking this will go to Lady Antebellum.

Who Should Win: Brad Paisley
Who Will Win: Lady Antebellum
Spoiler: Miranda Lambert

Male Vocalist of the Year

  • Dierks Bentley
  • Brad Paisley
  • Blake Shelton
  • George Strait
  • Keith Urban
This year saw Dierks Bentley and Blake Shelton breakthrough into this difficult category for the second and first time, respectively. Paisley, Strait, and Urban are all returning from last year’s field into this year’s nominees once again. For the past three year’s in a row, Brad Paisley has taken home this award and this year he once again comes in with little competition. Look to Brad Paisley to win his fourth straight Male Vocalist trophy.

Who Should Win: Brad Paisley
Who Will Win: Brad Paisley
Spoiler: Keith Urban

Female Vocalist of the Year

  • Miranda Lambert
  • Martina McBride
  • Reba McEntire
  • Taylor Swift
  • Carrie Underwood

The same five nominees are once again nominated this year; however, there’s a new frontrunner this year in Miranda Lambert. She comes in on the heels of the best year of her career as she’s had two singles hit the top of the chart, both of which received nominations in the Single and Song categories. She’s once again delivered the most critically acclaimed album of the year with Revolution, and she’s embarked on her first headlining tour of her career. If there was ever a year where this blonde beauty deserved to win this award, it’s this year and I think she’ll finally receive the recognition she’s deserved for so long…sorry Carrie Underwood fans!

Who Should Win: Miranda Lambert
Who Will Win: Miranda Lambert
Spoiler: Carrie Underwood

New Artist of the Year

  • Luke Bryan
  • Easton Corbin
  • Jerrod Niemann
  • Chris Young
  • Zac Brown Band

This year’s New Artist nominees have all hit the top of the charts this past year. Essentially, this is a two-horse race between country’s newest traditionalist, Easton Corbin, and second year nominee, Zac Brown Band. Easton was the first male artist since Dierks Bentley to send a debut single straight to number one and he also had his debut album debut at number one. Zac Brown Band have had more success at radio by adding a couple more number one singles to their credit. If I was choosing the winners, Easton Corbin would walk away with his first CMA award mainly because he is actually NEW. However, I think it’ll be hard for the CMA to ignore Zac Brown Band’s success.

Who Should Win: Easton Corbin
Who Will Win: Zac Brown Band
Spoiler: Easton Corbin

Vocal Group of the Year

  • Lady Antebellum
  • Little Big Town
  • Rascal Flatts
  • The Band Perry
  • Zac Brown Band

Congrats to The Band Perry on receiving their first ever CMA nomination, but they have no chance at winning. This is a two-horse race between country’s newest supergroups Lady Antebellum and Zac Brown Band. This year, Lady Antebellum has been the biggest selling country artist and delivered one of the biggest hit singles of any genre with “Need You Now.” The Zac Brown Band have sent a few more singles to number one and have been a constant force at retail with both their studio albums. Come Wednesday night, it’ll be Lady Antebellum taking home this award for the second consecutive year.

Who Should Win: Lady Antebellum
Who Will Win: Lady Antebellum
Spoiler: Zac Brown Band

Vocal Duo of the Year

  • Brooks & Dunn
  • Joey + Rory
  • Montgomery Gentry
  • Steel Magnolia
  • Sugarland

Congrats to the CMA’s for nominating five duos that have all been active in the past year! It’s awesome to see my two favorite new duos, Joey + Rory and Steel Magnolia, securing their first nominations in this category this year. This category, like the vocal group category, is essentially a two horse race. Last year’s recipients, Sugarland, have had a quiet year until recently when their hit “Stuck Like Glue” raced to the top five on the singles chart. Brooks & Dunn released a greatest hits album and had minor success at radio. Since this is their last nomination as an active duo, look for the CMA’s to award Brooks & Dunn with one last CMA award.

Who Should Win: Sugarland
Who Will Win: Brooks & Dunn
Spoiler: Sugarland

Single of the Year

  • “A Little More Country Than That” – Easton Corbin
  • “Hillbilly Bone” – Blake Shelton featuring Trace Adkins
  • “Need You Now” – Lady Antebellum
  • “The House That Built Me” – Miranda Lambert
  • “White Liar” – Miranda Lambert

This year’s nominated songs all spent time at number one on the country charts and are among this year’s biggest hits. In a CMA rarity, one artist has two songs competing for the award in the same year as Miranda Lambert’s “White Liar” and “The House That Built Me” both received nominations. Lambert could see the double nomination hurt her as the songs could split the votes making way for another single to come out with the win. This year also sees the inclusion of the multi-genre smash hit, “Need You Now” by Lady Antebellum which took home both the ACM for Single and Song of the Year earlier this year. Since the single reached multiple genres and audiences and occupied the number one spot on the charts for five consecutive weeks, I’m calling this Lady Antebellum’s award to lose.

Who Should Win: “Need You Now” – Lady Antebellum
Who Will Win: “Need You Now” – Lady Antebellum
Spoiler: “The House That Built Me” – Miranda Lambert

Album of the Year

  • Need You Now – Lady Antebellum
  • Play On – Carrie Underwood
  • Revolution – Miranda Lambert
  • Twang – George Strait
  • Up on the Ridge – Dierks Bentley

Five great albums are up for this year’s award including surprise nominee, Dierks Bentley. However, the Bentley, Underwood, and Strait albums, though all fantastic albums, have no shot at winning this award. This year the CMA’s have the opportunity to award the biggest-selling album of the year in Lady Antebellum’s Need You Now or the most critically acclaimed and most artistic album in Miranda Lambert’s Revolution. I’ve said before that CMA night will become the Miranda Lambert and Lady Antebellum show with the artists splitting the big awards. This one will go to Miranda Lambert’s amazing album making it both the ACM and CMA Album of the Year.

Who Should Win: Revolution – Miranda Lambert
Who Will Win: Revolution – Miranda Lambert
Spoiler: Need You Now – Lady Antebellum

Song of the Year

  • “A Little More Country Than That” – Rory Lee Feek, Don Poythress, and Wynn Varble
  • “Need You Now” – Dave Haywood, Charles Kelley, Hillary Scott, and Josh Kear
  • “The House That Built Me” – Tom Douglas and Allen Shamblin
  • “Toes” – Zac Brown, Wyatt Durrette, John Driskell Hopkins, and Shawn Mullins
  • “White Liar” – Natalie Hemby and Miranda Lambert

Five fantastic songs all have been included in this year’s Song of the Year category. Like the Entertainer, Single, Album, and Music Video categories, this is going to be a battle between the Lady Antebellum and Miranda Lambert songs. However, this one should go to the brilliant masterpiece written by Tom Douglas and Allen Shamblin, “The House That Built Me.” This was one of the best songs to hit country radio this decade and deserves this recognition. However, like the Single category, the inclusion of Lambert’s other smash hit, “White Liar,” could hurt as they could split votes to make room for another song to take the win.

Who Should Win: “The House That Built Me” – Tom Douglas and Allen Shamblin
Who Will Win: “The House That Built Me” – Tom Douglas and Allen Shamblin
Spoiler: “Need You Now” – Dave Haywood, Charles Kelley, Hillary Scott, and Josh Kear

Musical Event of the Year

  • “Bad Angel” – Dierks Bentley featuring Miranda Lambert and Jamey Johnson
  • “Can’t You See” – Zac Brown Band featuring Kid Rock
  • “Hillbilly Bone” – Blake Shelton featuring Trace Adkins
  • “I’m Alive” – Kenny Chesney with Dave Matthews
  • “Till The End” – Alan Jackson with Lee Ann Womack

Such an interesting collection of nominees that includes songs by some of country’s finest artists. This could come down to the smash hit “Hillbilly Bone” and the critical darling “Bad Angel.” Since it was the only song to hit number one and since it claimed the ACM Musical Event trophy earlier this year, I’m thinking “Hillbilly Bone” will go two-for-two.

Who Should Win: “Bad Angel” – Dierks Bentley featuring Miranda Lambert and Jamey Johnson
Who Will Win: “Hillbilly Bone” – Blake Shelton featuring Trace Adkins
Spoiler: “Bad Angel” – Dierks Bentley featuring Miranda Lambert and Jamey Johnson

Music Video of the Year

  • “Hillbilly Bone” – Blake Shelton featuring Trace Adkins
  • “Need You Now” – Lady Antebellum
  • “The House That Built Me” – Miranda Lambert
  • “Water” – Brad Paisley
  • “White Liar” – Miranda Lambert
Five videos that represent their songs fantastically have all been nominated for video of the year. This is the fifth category that Miranda Lambert and Lady Antebellum will battle it out for the win and I’m thinking one of their three nominated videos will take home the prize. Miranda Lambert scored the win at the ACM’s with “White Liar,” but come CMA night, voters could go with “The House That Built Me.” Or like the other categories where Lambert has two nominations, the votes could cancel each other out paving the way for Lady Antebellum’s “Need You Now” to secure the win. I’m thinking Lambert will reign supreme with “House.”
Who Should Win: “The House That Built Me” – Miranda Lambert
Who Will Win: “The House That Built Me” – Miranda Lambert
Spoiler: “Need You Now” – Lady Antebellum
If you’re keeping score, ATC is predicting leading nominee Miranda Lambert to take home three awards and also her smash hit “The House That Built Me” to take home Song of the Year. We are also predicting 2010’s biggest country artist, Lady Antebellum, to take home three awards including their first Entertainer of the Year award. This year’s awards show is probably the hardest one to predict so it’ll be interesting to see how we did come Wednesday night.
The 44th CMA Awards will be broadcast live on ABC this Wednesday, November 10, at 8/7 central. This year’s awards will once again be hosted by Carrie Underwood and Brad Paisley.


Filed under Awards Shows

8 responses to “Talkin’ About the CMA Awards: Official Predictions

  1. Well I won't be surprised if it goes the way this article predicts, BUT it SHOULD NOT! Keith Urban is way over due for the ETOY award. He is the BEST entertainer in any GENRE and has extended himself endlessly for the Country Music Genre he loves. He also is the BEST vocalist, beautiful, passionate, unique voice. He is amazing, it is a shame Country doesn't recognize!!

  2. ETOY: I believe that if you went to a concert of all 5 nominees, one right after the other, you would have no doubt as to who this award should go to. All 5 concerts would be terrific, but you would walk away knowing that the one with the energy, the passion, the excitement – the one you would be talking about for many days to come – would be Keith Urban.

  3. "This award is for the act displaying the greatest competence in all aspects of the entertainment field. Voter should give consideration not only to recorded performance, but also to the in-person performance, staging, public acceptance, attitude, leadership, and overall contribution to the Country Music image."This right here just screams "KEITH URBAN". i have seen everyone else in concert (last year half of them were opening acts for Keith) and i have to say that no one, and i mean no one puts a show on like Keith. I remember the first time i saw him. the second he walked off the stage i thought … "did that really just happen?" "how can he make me feel like this?" "when can i see him again?" i didn't even like country music at this time.Not only for the performances and shows himself, but how about the record sales and singles? how about all the performances that man does? he's ALWAYS doing something … whether it be something on TV, a charity, flood relief, raising 1 million dollars with his headlining concert for the Country Music Hall of Fame, or just simply doing interviews. this man is everywhere and i don't know anyone who has a better image and who cares for music the way that Keith does.He always gets overlooked! hasn't won a single CMA since what, 2005? he deserves this more than anyone i can think of. i can go on and on, but these are some of the reasons why i'm pulling for KEITH URBAN 110%!!!

  4. One has to wonder what fuels these award shows…viewers,ratings or what is hot at the moment. They would do themselves a favor if they looked at all the accomplishments of an artist over the entire year and consider what an artist has done for Country Music as a whole. Keith Urban deserves to be recognized for his outstanding guitar abilities, not to mention his "on stage" performances and singing abilities.Why does it strike me that these award shows just "follow the money." If they continue to do this, they will make themselves irrelevant to the viewing public.

  5. I absolutely agree with all of the previous comments. Keith pours his heart and soul into his music and each live performance! No one else even comes close. I've seen all of these acts live, but Keith's live shows just make me start talking about planning to attend another KU show before I even walk out of the arena. It seems that these shows seem to follow the money or the new "it" act for that year. That is completely wrong in my opinion. I am even doubting watching the telecast of the awards this year due to this type of thing. Keith is the Entertainer of the Year and Male Vocalist of Year in my opinion and the opinion of many many many fans out there! GO KEITH!!!!!!!!!!!!1

  6. I have seen four of the five Entertainer nominees, including Keith, in concert this year and I have to say that all four were amazing concerts but I have to say that each time I see Keith I feel like I'm seeing the same show. I've seen him several times and I don't think he changes his show at all. This year I have to say that the best concert I've seen was Lady Antebellum. Addressing the comments about how Entertainer awards only the "hot" acts each year, I have to say that yea they do because it's called Entertainer of the YEAR. It's not Entertainer of the last five years or of the decade…it's all about the previous year. This past year no one has brought more attention to the genre of country music than Lady Antebellum and Miranda Lambert. I'm not disagreeing with the fact that Keith deserves to win because obviously they all deserve to win or else they wouldn't be nominated, I'm just saying this isn't his year to win.

  7. Keith Urban and Brad Paisley are the men that put on the great shows. Just a year ago the other contenders were opening acts for those guys. Yes, eventually they should get ETOY but come on also they need to pay their dues. They need to be opening acts for awhile. When Taylor Swift won last year I almost swore off watching another CMA award show.

  8. Keith Urban just isn't that good!!! And he's boring in concert! Nearly all of his songs sound the same!

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